General Overview
This match between Ostapenko’s top seed and the underdog, where Ostapenko’s aggressive baseline game meets Townsend’s counter-punching style, promises to be a gripping contest. Ostapenko, known for her powerful groundstrokes and net play, will look to dominate from the baseline. However, Townsend’s defensive skills and ability to extend rallies could pose a challenge. The statistics suggest a high probability of the match concluding in three sets, indicating a potential battle of endurance and strategic depth.
Ostapenko, Jelena
Townsend, Taylor
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Sets | 97.90% | (0-2) | |
| Over 1st Set Games | 73.50% | (0-2) 5-7 1st Set 1.40 | |
| Under 1st Set Games | 78.40% | (0-2) 5-7 1st Set 1.25 | |
| Tie Break in 1st Set (No) | 86.20% | (0-2) | |
| Under 2.5 Sets | 76.80% | (0-2) | |
| Tie Break in Match (No) | 77.00% | (0-2) | |
| Total Games 3-Way (Under 22) | 58.10% | (0-2) | |
| Total Games 2-Way (Under 22.5) | 51.40% | (0-2) 1.80 |
Predictions for Under 3.5 Sets
The odds for the match finishing under 3.5 sets are at 98.70%. This high probability suggests that while the match may be closely contested, it is unlikely to extend beyond three sets. Given Ostapenko’s track record of aggressive play and quick service games, she might push for a swift conclusion.
Over/Under First Set Games
The prediction for over 1st set games stands at 68.50%, while under 1st set games is at 77.60%. This indicates a slight lean towards shorter games in the first set, possibly due to both players’ service effectiveness and their tactical approaches. Ostapenko might aim to break early and control the pace.
Tie Break in First Set
With odds of 86.00% against a tie break in the first set, it is anticipated that one player will establish a commanding lead early on. Given Ostapenko’s aggressive play style, she might avoid a tie break by breaking serve early.
Under 2.5 Sets
The likelihood of the match concluding in under 2.5 sets is at 82.00%. This aligns with expectations of a decisive outcome within two sets, especially if Ostapenko capitalizes on her strengths and maintains consistency in her play.
Tie Break in Match
The probability of not encountering a tie break throughout the match is at 75.90%. This suggests confidence in one player maintaining their advantage without requiring a decisive tie break to clinch victory.
Total Games Predictions
For total games, the predictions are divided into two-way and three-way outcomes. The odds for under 22 games (3-way) are at 60.40%, while under 22.5 games (2-way) stands at 54.80%. These figures imply an expectation of a relatively short match in terms of total games played, likely due to one player asserting dominance quickly.