Expert Analysis: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Lorenzo Carboni
The upcoming match between Gianmarco Ferrari and Lorenzo Carboni promises to be an intriguing contest, featuring two skilled players with contrasting styles. Ferrari, known for his aggressive baseline play and powerful serves, will likely aim to dominate early sets. On the other hand, Carboni’s tactical acumen and consistency make him a formidable opponent who can exploit any lapses in Ferrari’s game. The betting odds suggest a tightly contested match, with particular interest in the total number of games and the likelihood of tie breaks.
Gianmarco, Ferrari
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Carboni, Lorenzo
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Date: 2025-08-12
Time: 09:35
(FT)
(FT)
Venue: Todi - Center Court
Score: 2-1
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1st Set Games | 70.60% | (2-1) 6-3 1st Set 1.36 | |
| Under 1st Set Games | 68.30% | (2-1) 6-3 1st Set 1.80 | |
| Tie Break in 1st Set (No) | 90.70% | (2-1) | |
| Tie Break in Match (No) | 70.90% | (2-1) | |
| Under 2.5 Sets | 64.60% | (2-1) | |
| Total Games 3-Way (Under 22) | 58.70% | (2-1) | |
| Total Games 2-Way (Under 22.5) | 56.40% | (2-1) |
First Set Predictions
- Over 1st Set Games (71.50): Given Ferrari’s serve dominance, it is plausible that the first set could extend beyond 6 games. If Carboni manages to counter Ferrari’s power with strategic placement and resilience, we might see a longer set.
- Under 1st Set Games (67.40): If Ferrari starts strong and capitalizes on his service games, the first set could be swift and concise. Carboni will need to break Ferrari’s rhythm to prevent this outcome.
- Tie Break in 1st Set (No) – 90.00: The high probability against a tie break indicates that one player might secure a decisive advantage early on. Ferrari’s ability to close out sets quickly could lead to a direct set win without a tie break.
Match-Wide Predictions
- Tie Break in Match (No) – 70.70: This suggests that either player might have the capability to secure sets decisively without needing tie breaks. Ferrari’s strong serve could be crucial here, potentially avoiding extended sets.
- Under 2.5 Sets (64.50): A close match is anticipated, with both players likely needing all three sets to claim victory. Carboni’s tactical play could prolong the match if he can neutralize Ferrari’s power.
- Total Games 3-Way (Under 22) – 55.60: A tight contest is expected, where both players might push each other hard in each set, potentially leading to fewer than 22 total games if they are able to dominate their service games effectively.
- Total Games 2-Way (Under 22.5) – 54.90: This indicates an expectation of a closely fought match where both players may not easily concede points, keeping the total number of games on the lower side.